Rift
MULTI-SPORT PREDICTION ENGINE
Find where Rift and the market disagree.
Rift analyzes today’s games, builds independent probabilities, and shows the largest model-vs-market gaps across the sports and prices you actually care about.
Early access · by invitation · no payment taken
LIVE · NFL · College Football · MLB · WNBA · NHL · 22 GAMES TODAY
On the board right now
Current top candidate · College FootballCollege Football · Moneyline
Washington State moneyline
Arizona at Washington State
+310
Current price · DraftKings
Rift finds the gap. You decide what to do with it.
Rift’s probability is its own; the market’s is the price with the bookmaker’s margin removed. This one is labelled Experimental because the model behind it has not yet beaten closing prices out of sample - shown as it is, not as we would like it to be. It is one of 48 opportunities on the board this week.
Your sports. Your markets. Your odds.
Nobody bets everything. Tell Rift what you follow, which kinds of bet you take and the odds you consider, and it filters the whole board around the way you actually bet — then ranks what is left. Favourite teams get a marker, never a better number.
Rift found
14
opportunities matching this setup on this week’s board, of 48 in total.
Player props are modelled in the engine but not shown yet: the free price feed carries no prop prices Rift can use, and a projection with no price is not an opportunity.
How Rift works
Price the game
A model fitted on each sport's own history - pitchers and parks, pace and efficiency, goalies and rest, ratings and key numbers - produces a win probability, a fair line and a projected total for every game, before any price is read.
Price the market
The sportsbook's two-sided price is converted to a probability and the bookmaker's margin is removed, so both numbers mean the same thing.
Rank the gaps
The difference is the edge. Expected value is computed from Rift's probability at the price actually offered, and every market in your filters is ranked on it - so you research ten games instead of four hundred.
Every number shows its working
Model and market, side by side
Rift's probability is never replaced by the market's. You see both, the gap, and the price it was read at.
Evidence labels that mean something
A model that has not beaten closing prices out of sample is labelled Experimental and ranked lower. Today that is most of them, and the product says so.
Where each number came from
Open any opportunity for its model version, price source, how old the quote is and what has been measured behind it.
A current price, not a claimed best price
Prices come from one sportsbook via a free feed, so Rift calls them current prices. It will say best price only when it can compare books.
A journal that grades itself
Track an opportunity and its terms are frozen. When the game ends it is graded from the final score, with the closing price beside it.
No hype
No streaks, no countdowns, no 'bet now'. Rift is an analysis tool: it does not place bets, hold money or promise a profit.
Know whether you’re actually winning.
Log every bet you place - from Rift or anywhere else - and Positions grades it from the final score. Paper tracking stays separate from real money, so a hunch you only watched never inflates your record.
Daily P&L
Today, this week, this month, all time
ROI & units
On what you actually staked
By sport & market
Where you win and where you don't
Closing-line value
Did the price move your way?
Don’t analyze alone.
Discuss games, share picks, and see how other Rift members read the same market - in channels for the sports you follow. A pick shared from Rift’s model is labelled as Rift’s, frozen at the price it was shared; a member’s own pick is labelled as theirs.
Interface example · not a real post
Rift opportunity · shared by @member
Washington State moneyline +310
Rift 38.3% · Market 23.4% · Edge +14.9 pts
Shared at the price shown · settles automatically
Community pick · @member
A member’s own pick, with their note - never presented as Rift’s.
Pricing
Rift Free
$0
For learning Rift and a limited daily preview. Free forever.
- · Today's schedule and current odds in every active sport
- · Rift's top 3 opportunities each day
- · Rift vs market probability and the gap
- · A journal of up to 10 positions with a simple record
- · Read Community, with a few posts and shares a day
Rift Pro
$299.00/year
3 days free, then $299.00/year
Annual saves $60.88 a year (16.9%) against $29.99 × 12.
- · The complete board, every qualifying opportunity
- · Your personalized slate: sports, markets, odds, teams
- · Why Rift sees an edge: every model factor, for and against
- · Unlimited bet journal: daily, weekly, monthly P&L, ROI, CLV
- · Live view of your open positions
- · Full Community posting and Rift opportunity sharing
- · Saved filters and the model evidence behind every market
- · Alerts and player props when they launch - not before
Checkout opens once Rift's payment provider approves the service. Early-access members get Pro in the meantime.
Questions
Is Rift a sportsbook?
No. Rift does not take bets, hold money or connect to a sportsbook. It shows where its own probability differs from the market’s price.
Does Rift place bets for me?
No. It ranks opportunities and lets you track them on paper. Whether to bet, and where, is always your decision.
What sports does it cover?
This week: NFL, College Football, MLB, WNBA, NHL. Rift models the NFL, college football, MLB, the NBA, the WNBA, the NHL and college basketball, and each appears when it is in season.
What does “edge” mean?
Rift’s probability minus the market’s, in percentage points. If Rift makes a side 47% and the price, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, implies 37%, the edge is +10 points. Model EV is what that would be worth per unit at the offered price if Rift is right.
Does Rift guarantee a profit?
No. Nothing does. Most of Rift’s markets have not yet beaten closing prices out of sample, and they are labelled Experimental for exactly that reason.
Why are some opportunities labelled Experimental?
Because the evidence is not there yet. Each sport and market is tested out of sample, against closing prices where a price history exists. Until a market passes, its opportunities are shown, ranked lower and labelled — never presented as proven.
Can I choose the sports and odds I care about?
Yes. Pick sports, markets and an odds range once; your slate and board remember them, and you can save filter presets and favourite teams.
How are predictions generated?
Each sport has its own model fitted on that sport’s history. It produces a win probability, a fair line and a projected total before any price is read; the price is only used afterwards, to measure the gap.
Can I track my own bets?
Yes. Positions records bets you place - from Rift or anywhere - grades them from final scores and shows your P&L, ROI and closing-line value. Paper tracking is kept separate from real wagers.
How does the subscription work?
Rift Free is free forever with a limited daily preview. Rift Pro is $29.99 a month or $299 a year, with a 3-day free trial: $0 today, and you’re charged only when the trial ends.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes, from your account, in a couple of clicks - no email or call. Cancel during the trial and you aren’t charged; your positions and history stay either way.
How do I get access?
Rift is in early access by invitation. If you have an invitation, sign in with the address it was sent to. No payment is taken.
See where Rift disagrees with the market today.
Early access by invitation. Analysis only, never a bet.
Access is by invitation
This site has no public sign-up. Every account exists because the owner sent a single-use invitation to a specific email address, and access can be withdrawn at any time.
Have an invitation link? Open it and sign in with the address it was sent to.
Sign inWhat this is not
- It does not place bets, hold money, or connect to a sportsbook.
- It never shows a stake, and no market is validated for real money.
- It does not sell picks, and it makes no claim about future profit.
Analytics only. Rift never places a wager, holds money or signs in to a sportsbook, and no market has been validated for real money. Bets you log in Positions are your own record.
Intended for adults 21 or older. Sports wagering carries real financial risk; if it stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.